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Saturday 16 February 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
33% 32% 35%
Home win
32.9%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
34.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 32.9% 3.04
Draw 32.2% 3.10
PAOK 34.9% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.0% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.0% 7.15
Over 1.5 60.9% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.1% 2.56
Over 2.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 2.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.8% 6.77
Under 3.5 85.2% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.17
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.4% 2.42
No 58.6% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 65.1% 1.54
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 67.8% 1.48
Draw / PAOK 67.1% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.0
12.8
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.3
14.3
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.5
6.7
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.