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Saturday 2 February 2013, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
53% 28% 20%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 52.7% 1.90
Draw 27.7% 3.61
Panionios 19.6% 5.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.7% 9.32
Over 1.5 67.7% 1.48
Under 1.5 32.3% 3.09
Over 2.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 2.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 3.5 20.1% 4.97
Under 3.5 79.9% 1.25
Over 4.5 8.4% 11.91
Under 4.5 91.6% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.7% 2.29
No 56.3% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 80.4% 1.24
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 72.3% 1.38
Draw / Panionios 47.3% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.7
7.4
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.2
12.8
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
9.0
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.6
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.