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Saturday 26 January 2013, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
2–1
HT 0–1
50% 30% 21%
Home win
49.7%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
20.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 49.7% 2.01
Draw 29.6% 3.38
OFI 20.7% 4.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.4% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.6% 7.91
Over 1.5 63.5% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.99
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.38
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.8% 2.45
No 59.2% 1.69

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 79.3% 1.26
AEK Athens FC / OFI 70.4% 1.42
Draw / OFI 50.3% 1.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.6
8.5
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.3
13.2
4.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
8.4
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.9
3.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.