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Sunday 16 December 2012, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
38% 34% 28%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
27.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 38.0% 2.63
Draw 34.3% 2.92
Atromitos 27.7% 3.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.4% 5.75
Over 1.5 54.4% 1.84
Under 1.5 45.6% 2.19
Over 2.5 26.8% 3.72
Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37
Over 3.5 10.8% 9.24
Under 3.5 89.2% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 27.65
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.6% 2.81
No 64.4% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 72.3% 1.38
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 65.7% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 62.0% 1.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.4
12.5
5.4
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
15.7
14.0
5.3
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
8.2
6.6
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
2.7
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.