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Monday 3 December 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
45% 32% 23%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
23.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.9% 2.23
Draw 32.2% 3.11
PAS Giannina 23.0% 4.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.4% 6.51
Over 1.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 1.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 2.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 2.5 69.7% 1.43
Over 3.5 13.0% 7.71
Under 3.5 87.0% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.6% 21.66
Under 4.5 95.4% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.0% 1.30
AEK Athens FC / PAS Giannina 67.8% 1.47
Draw / PAS Giannina 55.1% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.4
10.2
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.3
13.7
4.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.0
7.5
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.9
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.