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Sunday 4 November 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
56% 28% 16%
Home win
56.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
16.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 56.4% 1.77
Draw 27.6% 3.62
AEK Athens FC 16.0% 6.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.16
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.6% 2.73
Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.80
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.71
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 84.0% 1.19
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 72.4% 1.38
Draw / AEK Athens FC 43.6% 2.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
7.0
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.5
12.2
3.8
0.9
0.1
0.0
2
12.8
8.6
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.4
4.3
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.