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Monday 29 October 2012, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
2–2
HT 1–2
24% 32% 44%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
43.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 24.4% 4.09
Draw 32.1% 3.12
Panathinaikos 43.5% 2.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.8% 6.74
Over 1.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 1.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 2.5 31.3% 3.19
Under 2.5 68.7% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.6% 7.35
Under 3.5 86.4% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.29
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 56.5% 1.77
OFI / Panathinaikos 67.9% 1.47
Draw / Panathinaikos 75.6% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.8
15.6
9.5
3.7
1.1
0.2
1
10.5
13.8
7.6
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
4.5
5.2
3.0
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.2
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.