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Saturday 29 September 2012, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
2–1
HT 2–0
39% 32% 30%
Home win
38.7%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
29.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 38.7% 2.58
Draw 31.7% 3.15
OFI 29.6% 3.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.40
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.48
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 17.09
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.38
No 58.1% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 70.4% 1.42
AOK Kerkyra / OFI 68.3% 1.46
Draw / OFI 61.3% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
11.2
5.6
1.8
0.4
0.1
1
13.4
14.2
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.0
7.5
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.0
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.