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Wednesday 18 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
4–1
HT 3–1
33% 32% 35%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
34.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 32.8% 3.05
Draw 32.3% 3.10
OFI 34.9% 2.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 0.5 14.1% 7.11
Over 1.5 60.8% 1.64
Under 1.5 39.2% 2.55
Over 2.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 2.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 3.5 14.7% 6.81
Under 3.5 85.3% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.5% 18.31
Under 4.5 94.5% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 65.1% 1.54
AOK Kerkyra / OFI 67.7% 1.48
Draw / OFI 67.2% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.1
12.8
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.3
14.3
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
6.5
6.7
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.1
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: OFI goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.