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Sunday 1 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
25% 29% 47%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
46.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 24.6% 4.06
Draw 28.6% 3.50
AEK Athens FC 46.8% 2.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.77
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.22
Over 2.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.2% 4.71
Under 3.5 78.8% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.05
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.1% 2.13
No 53.0% 1.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 53.2% 1.88
AOK Kerkyra / AEK Athens FC 71.4% 1.40
Draw / AEK Athens FC 75.4% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
12.6
9.4
4.4
1.5
0.4
1
8.2
13.4
8.9
4.2
1.5
0.4
2
4.3
6.0
4.2
2.0
0.7
0.2
3
1.4
1.9
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.