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Saturday 6 October 2012, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
60% 25% 15%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 60.1% 1.66
Draw 24.6% 4.06
AOK Kerkyra 15.2% 6.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.05
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.21
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.45
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 84.8% 1.18
AEK Athens FC / AOK Kerkyra 75.4% 1.33
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 39.9% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
5.6
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.9
11.5
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.5
9.4
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.