Skip to content
Sunday 23 September 2012, 18:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
52% 28% 20%
Home win
51.9%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
20.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 51.9% 1.93
Draw 28.0% 3.57
AOK Kerkyra 20.0% 5.00

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.12
Over 1.5 67.2% 1.49
Under 1.5 32.8% 3.05
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.09
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.29
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 80.0% 1.25
Aris Thessalonikis / AOK Kerkyra 72.0% 1.39
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 48.1% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
7.6
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.3
12.9
4.9
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
11.0
8.9
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.4
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.