Wednesday 4 January 2012, 15:00
Stadio Kerkyras
Full time
30%
36%
34%
Home win
29.6%
Draw
36.5%
Away win
33.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOK Kerkyra | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 49.1% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.3% | 12.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.5% | 39.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.5% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| No | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AOK Kerkyra / Draw | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| AOK Kerkyra / Aris Thessalonikis | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
20.4
|
16.0
|
7.1
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
13.8
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
5.0
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2013
AOK Kerkyra
2-2
Aris Thessalonikis
Sep 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
1-0
AOK Kerkyra
Apr 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
AOK Kerkyra
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.