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Sunday 27 November 2011, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
39% 34% 27%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
34.0%
Away win
27.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 38.9% 2.57
Draw 34.0% 2.94
Aris Thessalonikis 27.0% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.9% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.1% 5.84
Over 1.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 1.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 2.5 27.3% 3.67
Under 2.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.1% 9.03
Under 3.5 88.9% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.7% 26.80
Under 4.5 96.3% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.8% 2.79
No 64.2% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 73.0% 1.37
Panionios / Aris Thessalonikis 66.0% 1.52
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 61.1% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.1
12.2
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
1
15.8
14.0
5.3
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
8.4
6.7
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
2.9
2.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.