Skip to content
Saturday 5 November 2011, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
28% 33% 39%
Home win
28.1%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
38.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 28.1% 3.56
Draw 33.0% 3.03
Olympiakos Piraeus 38.9% 2.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.4% 6.48
Over 1.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 1.5 41.9% 2.38
Over 2.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.9% 7.74
Under 3.5 87.1% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.6% 21.78
Under 4.5 95.4% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.5% 2.59
No 61.5% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 61.1% 1.64
Aris Thessalonikis / Olympiakos Piraeus 67.0% 1.49
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 71.9% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.4
14.7
8.3
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
11.8
14.2
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
5.4
5.7
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
1.5
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.