Sunday 16 October 2011, 18:15
Pankritio Stadio
Full time
51%
31%
18%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
17.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 17.8% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.1% | 7.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.0% | 2.85 | — | — |
| No | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ergotelis / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Ergotelis / Aris Thessalonikis | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
8.6
|
3.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.0
|
12.7
|
3.9
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
7.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2014
Aris Thessalonikis
0-2
Ergotelis
Dec 2013
Ergotelis
3-3
Aris Thessalonikis
Feb 2012
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
Ergotelis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.