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Sunday 23 October 2011, 18:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
32% 31% 36%
Home win
32.4%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
36.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 32.4% 3.08
Draw 31.5% 3.18
Olympiakos Piraeus 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.73
Over 1.5 63.1% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 2.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.84
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 63.9% 1.56
Panionios / Olympiakos Piraeus 68.5% 1.46
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 67.6% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
12.4
7.2
2.6
0.7
0.2
1
11.5
14.3
7.4
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.3
6.9
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.1
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.