Skip to content
Sunday 2 October 2011, 20:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
40% 26% 34%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
34.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 40.3% 2.48
Draw 25.7% 3.90
PAOK 34.1% 2.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.42
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.13
Over 2.5 57.3% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 3.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.2% 5.50
Under 4.5 81.8% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 65.9% 1.52
Olympiakos Piraeus / PAOK 74.3% 1.35
Draw / PAOK 59.7% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
6.5
5.1
2.4
0.9
0.2
1
7.2
11.9
8.0
3.8
1.3
0.4
2
6.2
8.8
6.2
3.0
1.0
0.3
3
3.2
4.6
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.2
4
1.3
1.8
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.