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Monday 10 February 2014, 19:30 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
41% 30% 28%
Home win
41.4%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
28.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 41.4% 2.41
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Panionios 28.4% 3.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.59
Over 1.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.5% 5.41
Under 3.5 81.5% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.5% 13.36
Under 4.5 92.5% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 71.6% 1.40
Aris Thessalonikis / Panionios 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Panionios 58.6% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
9.8
5.2
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
12.7
14.0
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.4
8.2
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.5
3.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.