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Wednesday 5 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
88% 10% 2%
Home win
88.0%
Draw
9.5%
Away win
2.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 88.0% 1.14
Draw 9.5% 10.48
Panionios 2.5% 40.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 24.87
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.29
Over 2.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 3.5 41.4% 2.41
Under 3.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.3% 4.29
Under 4.5 76.7% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.4% 3.40
No 70.6% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.5% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panionios 90.5% 1.11
Draw / Panionios 12.0% 8.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
10.7
4.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
16.0
5.9
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
15.5
5.7
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
11.2
4.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
6.5
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.