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Saturday 18 January 2014, 19:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
24% 30% 46%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
46.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 24.3% 4.11
Draw 29.7% 3.37
PAOK 46.0% 2.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.51
Over 1.5 65.5% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.5% 2.90
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.2% 5.48
Under 3.5 81.8% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.61
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.9% 2.28
No 56.1% 1.78

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 54.0% 1.85
Panionios / PAOK 70.3% 1.42
Draw / PAOK 75.7% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
13.7
9.6
4.2
1.4
0.4
1
9.0
13.7
8.5
3.8
1.2
0.3
2
4.3
5.7
3.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.