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Sunday 17 February 2019, 18:00 Kleanthis Vikelides Full time
52% 29% 19%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
18.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 52.5% 1.91
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Panionios 18.8% 5.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.7% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.3% 8.13
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.6% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.81
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.73
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.3% 2.48
No 59.7% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 81.2% 1.23
Aris Thessalonikis / Panionios 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Panionios 47.5% 2.10

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.3
7.8
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
15.7
12.9
4.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
8.6
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
5.5
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.