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Sunday 3 February 2019, 19:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis (Thessaloníki) Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
17.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 55.2% 1.81
Draw 26.8% 3.73
PAS Giannina 17.9% 5.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.69
Over 1.5 68.6% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.4% 3.18
Over 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.28
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 82.1% 1.22
Aris Thessalonikis / PAS Giannina 73.2% 1.37
Draw / PAS Giannina 44.8% 2.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
6.8
2.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
14.3
12.4
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.7
9.1
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.