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Wednesday 30 January 2019, 17:15 Toumba Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
82% 14% 4%
Home win
81.7%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
4.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 81.7% 1.22
Draw 13.9% 7.19
PAS Giannina 4.4% 22.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.01
Over 1.5 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Under 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Over 3.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 3.5 67.1% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.97
Under 4.5 83.3% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.5% 3.07
No 67.5% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 95.6% 1.05
PAOK / PAS Giannina 86.1% 1.16
Draw / PAS Giannina 18.3% 5.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
13.3
6.3
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.8
7.3
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.7
6.0
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
8.5
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.