Sunday 9 December 2018, 19:30
Toumba Stadium
Full time
83%
13%
4%
Home win
83.2%
Draw
13.2%
Away win
3.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
| Larisa | 3.6% | 27.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.2% | 16.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| No | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| PAOK / Larisa | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.1
|
5.7
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.8
|
6.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.6
|
5.4
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
3.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Aug 2025
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
1-1
PAOK
Sep 2020
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Larisa
1-2
PAOK
Nov 2019
PAOK
1-0
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.