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Monday 29 October 2018, 21:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
60% 26% 14%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
14.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 59.7% 1.68
Draw 26.1% 3.84
Panathinaikos 14.3% 7.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.89
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.27
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.90
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 85.7% 1.17
PAOK / Panathinaikos 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Panathinaikos 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
6.2
2.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
16.3
11.6
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.5
8.8
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
7.2
4.7
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.