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Saturday 24 November 2018, 17:15 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
62% 26% 13%
Home win
61.6%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
12.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 61.6% 1.62
Draw 25.6% 3.90
Larisa 12.7% 7.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.55
Over 1.5 65.2% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.8% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.52
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.3% 13.76
Under 4.5 92.7% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.3% 2.75
No 63.7% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 87.3% 1.15
Asteras Tripolis / Larisa 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Larisa 38.4% 2.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
5.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
11.2
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
8.5
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.7
4.6
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.