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Monday 8 October 2018, 19:00 Pigadeia-Xanthi FC Arena Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
59% 28% 13%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
12.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 58.9% 1.70
Draw 28.4% 3.52
Larisa 12.7% 7.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.61
Over 1.5 58.1% 1.72
Under 1.5 41.9% 2.39
Over 2.5 30.5% 3.28
Under 2.5 69.5% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.1% 7.66
Under 3.5 86.9% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.45
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.0% 3.22
No 69.0% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 87.3% 1.15
Xanthi FC / Larisa 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Larisa 41.1% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
6.8
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
19.9
11.2
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
7.5
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
6.9
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.