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Sunday 17 February 2019, 15:00 AEL FC Arena Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
31% 36% 33%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
35.8%
Away win
33.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 31.2% 3.21
Draw 35.8% 2.79
Xanthi FC 33.0% 3.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.4% 5.16
Over 1.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 1.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 2.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 2.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 3.5 9.1% 11.03
Under 3.5 90.9% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.9% 35.04
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.1% 3.02
No 66.9% 1.50

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 67.0% 1.49
Larisa / Xanthi FC 64.2% 1.56
Draw / Xanthi FC 68.8% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.4
15.2
6.8
2.0
0.4
0.1
1
14.5
13.9
5.6
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
6.3
5.4
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
1.7
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.