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Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:00 Xanthi FC Arena (Pigadia) Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
59% 27% 14%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
13.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 58.9% 1.70
Draw 27.5% 3.64
Larisa 13.6% 7.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.6% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.4% 7.48
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Under 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.4% 6.49
Under 3.5 84.6% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.13
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.5% 2.90
No 65.5% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 86.4% 1.16
Xanthi FC / Larisa 72.5% 1.38
Draw / Larisa 41.1% 2.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.4
6.7
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.3
11.5
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.1
8.1
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.0
4.0
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.