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Sunday 15 April 2018, 15:00 AEL Arena (Larissa) Full time
4–2
HT 3–1
34% 33% 33%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
33.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 34.1% 2.93
Draw 32.7% 3.05
Panetolikos 33.1% 3.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.7% 6.79
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.47
Over 2.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.26
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 19.94
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 66.9% 1.50
Larisa / Panetolikos 67.3% 1.49
Draw / Panetolikos 65.9% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.7
12.8
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.1
14.3
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
6.9
6.7
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.3
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.