Sunday 27 January 2019, 19:00
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Full time
69%
22%
9%
Home win
69.4%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
9.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Larisa | 9.1% | 11.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.7% | 10.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Larisa | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.6
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
9.5
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.9
|
8.4
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Panathinaikos
1-1
Larisa
Dec 2025
Larisa
2-2
Panathinaikos
Jan 2021
Panathinaikos
2-0
Larisa
Sep 2020
Larisa
1-1
Panathinaikos
Jan 2020
Larisa
0-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2019
Panathinaikos
1-2
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.