Skip to content
Sunday 16 December 2018, 19:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
51% 28% 20%
Home win
51.3%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
20.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.3% 1.95
Draw 28.3% 3.54
Atromitos 20.5% 4.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.9% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.1% 9.03
Over 1.5 66.9% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.1% 3.02
Over 2.5 39.6% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.4% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.14
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.47
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.5% 1.26
Panathinaikos / Atromitos 71.7% 1.39
Draw / Atromitos 48.7% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.1
7.7
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
14.3
13.0
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.9
8.9
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.3
4.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.