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Sunday 11 November 2018, 15:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
64% 25% 11%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
10.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 64.1% 1.56
Draw 25.2% 3.96
Atromitos 10.6% 9.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.88
Over 1.5 62.9% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.1% 2.70
Over 2.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.82
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.2% 3.11
No 67.8% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 89.4% 1.12
AEK Athens FC / Atromitos 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Atromitos 35.9% 2.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
5.5
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
18.9
10.4
2.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.7
7.9
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
8.4
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.