Skip to content
Saturday 29 September 2018, 20:30 Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium Full time
0–3
HT 0–2
15% 23% 62%
Home win
14.8%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
61.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 14.8% 6.76
Draw 23.4% 4.27
AEK Athens FC 61.8% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.1% 1.09
Under 0.5 7.9% 12.68
Over 1.5 74.3% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.7% 3.89
Over 2.5 48.7% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 3.5 26.9% 3.72
Under 3.5 73.1% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.95
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.3% 2.16
No 53.7% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 38.2% 2.62
OFI / AEK Athens FC 76.6% 1.31
Draw / AEK Athens FC 85.2% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.9
12.7
12.3
7.5
3.5
1.3
1
5.1
11.1
9.6
5.9
2.7
1.0
2
2.2
4.1
3.8
2.3
1.1
0.4
3
0.6
1.1
1.0
0.6
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.