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Monday 22 October 2018, 19:00 Peristeri Stadium Full time
50% 30% 20%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
20.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 50.1% 2.00
Draw 29.6% 3.37
Asteras Tripolis 20.3% 4.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.75
Over 1.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 2.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.14
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.91
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 79.7% 1.25
Atromitos / Asteras Tripolis 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
8.5
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.7
13.2
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
8.4
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.