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Saturday 1 December 2018, 19:00 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
20% 32% 48%
Home win
20.2%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
47.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 20.2% 4.95
Draw 32.3% 3.10
Atromitos 47.5% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.4% 6.10
Over 1.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 1.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 2.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 2.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 3.5 11.8% 8.49
Under 3.5 88.2% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.1% 24.66
Under 4.5 95.9% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.7% 2.88
No 65.3% 1.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 52.5% 1.91
Apollon Smirnis / Atromitos 67.7% 1.48
Draw / Atromitos 79.8% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.4
17.8
11.0
4.3
1.3
0.3
1
9.8
13.2
7.4
2.9
0.9
0.2
2
3.5
4.2
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
0.8
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.