Sunday 4 November 2018, 19:30
Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium
Full time
50%
30%
19%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
19.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.2% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.3% | 6.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.3% | 18.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| No | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI / Draw | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| OFI / Apollon Smirnis | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.2
|
8.7
|
3.3
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.9
|
13.0
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
8.0
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
OFI
1-2
Apollon Smirnis
Mar 2022
OFI
2-0
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2022
Apollon Smirnis
0-3
OFI
Apr 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-0
OFI
Feb 2021
Apollon Smirnis
2-1
OFI
Dec 2020
OFI
0-2
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.