Saturday 12 January 2019, 17:15
AEL FC Arena
Full time
47%
33%
20%
Home win
46.9%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 10.7% | 9.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.6% | 28.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.02 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Larisa / Apollon Smirnis | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.5
|
10.1
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.4
|
13.1
|
4.0
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.9
|
7.0
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
0-1
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2020
Apollon Smirnis
1-0
Larisa
Aug 2018
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Larisa
Apr 2018
Apollon Smirnis
3-0
Larisa
Nov 2017
Larisa
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.