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Monday 10 December 2018, 19:00 Panetolikos Stadium Full time
57% 27% 16%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
15.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 57.1% 1.75
Draw 27.3% 3.67
Apollon Smirnis 15.7% 6.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.37
Over 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 2.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 2.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.7% 5.64
Under 3.5 82.3% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.1% 14.14
Under 4.5 92.9% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 84.3% 1.19
Panetolikos / Apollon Smirnis 72.7% 1.37
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 42.9% 2.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
6.8
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.4
12.1
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
8.6
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.5
4.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.5
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.