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Sunday 3 February 2019, 17:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
28% 31% 40%
Home win
28.2%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
40.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 28.2% 3.54
Draw 31.4% 3.18
Atromitos 40.4% 2.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.55
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.32
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.53
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 59.7% 1.68
Larisa / Atromitos 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Atromitos 71.8% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
13.6
8.4
3.2
0.9
0.2
1
10.7
14.1
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.3
6.2
3.6
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.6
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.