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Sunday 20 November 2011, 17:15 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
64% 24% 12%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
11.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 64.1% 1.56
Draw 24.3% 4.11
Aris Thessalonikis 11.6% 8.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.9% 9.21
Over 1.5 67.0% 1.49
Under 1.5 33.0% 3.03
Over 2.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 2.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 3.5 19.6% 5.10
Under 3.5 80.4% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.1% 12.31
Under 4.5 91.9% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.5% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 88.4% 1.13
OFI / Aris Thessalonikis 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 35.9% 2.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.9
5.3
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
16.8
10.7
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.8
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
8.4
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.