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Sunday 18 December 2011, 17:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
46% 32% 22%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 45.9% 2.18
Draw 32.2% 3.10
Panetolikos 21.9% 4.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.34
Over 1.5 57.3% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.7% 2.34
Over 2.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 2.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 8.03
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.85
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.3% 2.76
No 63.7% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 78.1% 1.28
Aris Thessalonikis / Panetolikos 67.8% 1.48
Draw / Panetolikos 54.1% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
10.1
3.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
16.9
13.5
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.3
7.5
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
4.1
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.