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Saturday 3 December 2011, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
76% 15% 9%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
15.5%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 76.0% 1.32
Draw 15.5% 6.46
Panetolikos 8.5% 11.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.60
Over 1.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.3% 6.99
Over 2.5 66.0% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.0% 2.94
Over 3.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 3.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.5% 3.92
Under 4.5 74.5% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.8% 1.97
No 49.2% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 91.5% 1.09
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panetolikos 84.5% 1.18
Draw / Panetolikos 24.0% 4.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
8.3
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
11.4
9.0
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.9
7.8
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
6.5
5.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
3.4
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.