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Sunday 6 November 2011, 15:00 Pankritio Stadio Full time
52% 25% 24%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
23.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis 51.6% 1.94
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Panetolikos 23.6% 4.24

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.88
Over 1.5 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.5% 3.08
Under 3.5 67.5% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.4% 6.08
Under 4.5 83.6% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.4% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.29

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Ergotelis / Draw 76.4% 1.31
Ergotelis / Panetolikos 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Panetolikos 48.4% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
5.6
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
9.2
11.7
6.2
2.3
0.7
0.1
2
8.7
9.7
5.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.1
5.7
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.2
2.5
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Ergotelis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.