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Sunday 11 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
34% 33% 32%
Home win
34.1%
Draw
33.4%
Away win
32.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 34.1% 2.94
Draw 33.4% 2.99
Ergotelis 32.5% 3.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.34
Over 1.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 1.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.5% 7.99
Under 3.5 87.5% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.4% 22.72
Under 4.5 95.6% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.4% 2.60
No 61.6% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 67.5% 1.48
Panetolikos / Ergotelis 66.6% 1.50
Draw / Ergotelis 65.9% 1.52

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
13.2
6.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
13.6
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.0
6.5
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.2
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: Ergotelis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.