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Sunday 20 November 2011, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
49% 29% 22%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
22.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 48.7% 2.06
Draw 29.2% 3.43
Panetolikos 22.2% 4.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.58
Over 1.5 65.7% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.3% 2.92
Over 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.44
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.46
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.3% 2.31
No 56.7% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 77.8% 1.28
PAOK / Panetolikos 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Panetolikos 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
8.4
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
14.2
13.4
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.3
8.7
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.7
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.