Skip to content
Saturday 19 November 2011, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
44% 21% 35%
Home win
44.1%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 44.1% 2.27
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Panathinaikos 34.7% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 46.23
Over 1.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 2.5 77.0% 1.30
Under 2.5 23.0% 4.34
Over 3.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 3.5 42.3% 2.36
Over 4.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 4.5 61.8% 1.62

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 75.6% 1.32
No 24.4% 4.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus / Panathinaikos 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Panathinaikos 55.9% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.2
2.9
3.1
2.0
1.0
0.4
1
3.3
7.5
6.8
4.3
2.0
0.8
2
4.0
7.6
7.3
4.6
2.2
0.8
3
2.9
5.5
5.2
3.3
1.6
0.6
4
1.5
2.9
2.8
1.8
0.8
0.3
5
0.7
1.3
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.