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Sunday 11 December 2011, 15:00 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
Asteras Tripolis
1–0
HT 1–0
Aris Thessalonikis
32% 38% 30%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
37.9%
Away win
30.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 31.7% 3.15 — —
Draw 37.9% 2.64 — —
Aris Thessalonikis 30.4% 3.29 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 77.5% 1.29 — —
Under 0.5 22.5% 4.45 — —
Over 1.5 45.9% 2.18 — —
Under 1.5 54.1% 1.85 — —
Over 2.5 19.8% 5.05 — —
Under 2.5 80.2% 1.25 — —
Over 3.5 6.9% 14.49 — —
Under 3.5 93.1% 1.07 — —
Over 4.5 2.0% 50.38 — —
Under 4.5 98.0% 1.02 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.3% 3.42 — —
No 70.7% 1.41 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 69.6% 1.44 — —
Asteras Tripolis / Aris Thessalonikis 62.1% 1.61 — —
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 68.3% 1.46 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
22.5
15.6
6.1
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
16.1
13.4
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
6.5
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Asteras Tripolis
L W L W L
Aris Thessalonikis
L L W L W

Head to head

Dec 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-1 Aris Thessalonikis Nov 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 Asteras Tripolis May 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 4-2 Asteras Tripolis Mar 2025 Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Aris Thessalonikis Dec 2024 Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Aris Thessalonikis Aug 2024 Aris Thessalonikis 1-1 Asteras Tripolis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.