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Saturday 3 December 2011, 16:30 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
63% 26% 11%
Home win
63.5%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
10.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 63.5% 1.58
Draw 25.8% 3.88
Asteras Tripolis 10.8% 9.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.54
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.45
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 17.01
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.5% 3.18
No 68.5% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 89.2% 1.12
OFI / Asteras Tripolis 74.2% 1.35
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 36.5% 2.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
5.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
19.3
10.4
2.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
15.7
7.7
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
8.2
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.